# Forecasting model of power generated by wind power plants
> Ilyas A.M.

URL kanonis: https://discover.unhas.ac.id/publications/forecasting-model-of-power-generated-by-wind-power-plants
Jurnal / Konferensi: Iop Conference Series Earth and Environmental Science
Tahun terbit: 2021
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1088/1755-1315/926/1/012084
ISSN: 17551307
Citations: 3

## Authors
- Ilyas A.M.

## Abstract
Abstract The power generated by wind power plants is unstable so forecasting is needed to maintain the power balance in an interconnected system. The purpose of this research is to predict the power generated at the Sidrap and Jeneponto wind power plants. The method used is an optimally pruned extreme learning machine (OPELM). The extreme learning machine (ELM) method is used as a comparison method. The mean absolute percentage error (MAPE) method is used to assess the level of forecasting accuracy. Forecasting power generation with Sidrap wind power plant data using the OPELM method is 0.8970% more accurate than the ELM which is 1.0853%. In general, the OPELM method is more accurate. Forecasting power generation with data from the Jeneponto wind power plant using the OPELM method is 2.4887% more accurate than the ELM method is 2.9984%. These results indicate that linear, sigmoid, and Gaussian activation in the OPELM method can increase accuracy. The OPELM method can be tested in forecasting the power generation at the Sidrap and Jeneponto wind power plants to maintain a power balance in the Sulselbar power grid system.

## Keywords
- Wind power
- Power (physics)
- Extreme learning machine
- Wind power forecasting
- Power Balance
- Electric power system
- Mean absolute percentage error
- Computer science
- Power station
- Wind speed
- Electricity generation
- Control theory (sociology)
- Reliability engineering
- Meteorology
- Engineering
- Artificial neural network
- Artificial intelligence
- Electrical engineering
- Quantum mechanics
- Control (management)
- Physics

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Sumber: Discover Unhas — RIMS Universitas Hasanuddin.
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